Who needs to show up?
For me, this debate is a huge opportunity for retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson. He's only trailing Donald Trump by 4 percentage points in a recent CBS news poll and has appeared to surpass Jeb Bush in many polls. Carson's political views are the closest to Trump's in the rest of the field and he could shift some of the Trump supporters if he can show himself as a calmer version of Trump with equal political knowledge and power.
![]() |
| Ben Carson could benefit substantially from a strong debate |
I think this debate is also important for lower-polling candidates like Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, and Rand Paul to try to convince voters who don't know much about them that they are strong candidates. If they fail to do this in these next few debates, they could be out of the race before the primaries even start.
