Saturday Update 8/1/14: Republican Debate #1-Who will make the cut?

The Republican Debates start up next week when the top 10 candidates according to FOX News' polling average square off in Cleveland at 9 pm this Thursday night. The candidates that are outside the top 10 will participate in a roundtable at 5 pm. However, being in the 10 person field for the 9 pm debate will be critical for candidates who want to stand a chance since most undecided voters will only watch the 9 pm debate.

Who will the 10 be?
The 10 will be announced Tuesday but to try to figure them out early, I have taken a look at the polling averages from RealClearPolitics and the Huffington Post. Based on these polls, it's clear Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, and Scott Walker will without a doubt be in the debates as they are the top 3 on both lists. Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, and Mike Huckabee are in the top 8 in both lists and also seem likely to participate in the 9 pm debate. Both averages also have Chris Christie and John Kasich holding slight leads for the final. This would leave Rick Perry, Bobby Jindal, Rick Santorum, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, and Jim Gilmore out of the debate.